The Amnesty law, fully constitutional and with the EU seal, is the logical culmination of the great political pact that was the motion of censure of 2018. With that audacity of success, a political cycle was opened that transcended mere censure of the Government of Mariano Rajoy . The motion crystallized the plurinational and transversal majority that had been latent in Congress since December 2015, when the bipartisan system passed away. The president Peter Sanchez a free politician since he won his party’s primaries, had the courage to build that parliamentary majority that, with more assets than you owe, has reached today. Motion of censure, pardons, amnesty, always the result of a social, electoral and political majority, in generational transition based on an idea of transversal and plurinational Spain. It is the logical sequence of a Spain in which all Spains fit, compared to another Spain so legitimate that it is the one of those who consider that only one fits. That is what the motion and the succession of political events that lead up to the CJEU’s ruling last Thursday, July 16, with the iconic “all in” of Enric Juliana .
In 1976, when all this democracy was just starting, the desire of the average Spaniard was, if you remember, to be European. We were not yet part of the EU, but we wanted to be like the German or the French. In 1986 we entered the EEC as a materialization of that vital standard and from that very moment the desires of the social matter of that Spain in which many Spains fit and the institutionality went hand in hand. We saw it last week too. This is a large bastion of the Spain complex. Europeanism, reconciliation, well-being, the context of the European Union. Being a democrat to be European was the first step that is still incomplete, as it needs to be renewed with a new agreement for democratic coexistence, with the EU seal, on the way to 50 years of the Spanish Constitution. Now, yes, once “everyone is in,” we are ready to take that step which is the great institutional reform to harmonize the institutional framework of Spain. But for this it is a priority, urgent and important to recover Junts.
Aliança Catalana feeds on the inertia, unease and current primacy of the other: the right of PP and Vox
How Junts builds its current result is the confirmation that it is possible to rebound and surpass Alianza Catalana (AC). Those of Puigdemont Today they give up votes everywhere and have negative balances with all parties, with ERC, PSC and Aliança Catalana, fundamentally. He receives 60,000 votes among others, whites, abstentionists and new voters, who technically keep them in the hospital. Everyone focuses on the 185,000 votes that Junts transfers to AC, but few focus on the 25,000 votes that it gives to PSC, 65,000 to ERC and 70,000 to abstention, others, whites and the CUP. In total, 170,000 voters, which is a figure very similar to the 186,000 who go to AC. What happens to Junts is a double whammy. Now, only if it closed the leaks to PSC, ERC, CUP and abstention, Junts would be above Aliança. Without supporting the transversal and plurinational majority it will not achieve it. Breaking the deck of the majority of the investiture or collapsing the legislature works. His comeback can only be fueled by that side that must comply with Junts, listen to him recover. AC feeds on the inertia, unease and current primacy of the other: the right-wing PP and Vox who have secured the consortium and Abascal the vice presidency, due to the lack of definition of the actors, the still non-appearance of the left, the consequent demobilization, the slow shift towards the right and the 700,000 votes that the PSOE gives up to the consortium. This whole combo, right now, would prevent continuing the reforms that citizens need, which started with the motion of censure. Today the Amnesty law would be impossible. New social budgets will support mayors and councilors in 2027. Recovering Junts is now the best thing for Catalonia and the Spanish universe.
Next week
Take care of the majority
In a year’s time, no one will be talking about the Amnesty law, but rather about how many Spains can fit into this Spain, now that all the parties are back inside. And that means re-threading the social fabric of this Spain of ours, which at the moment is very tied. Taking care of the current parliamentary majority, through good social budgets, would allow us to accumulate political capital to face the great institutional reform that Spain needs on the next 50th anniversary of the Magna Carta.
The hawk’s eye
The left
The left knows that its political offer is currently not meeting the expectations of electoral demand. Right now the unitary candidacy is not enough and those who are called to lead that space are already aware of this. If there were a linear sum of Sumar and Podemos, they would be at 2.5 million votes, half a million from the result of the last general elections on 23-J. There is still a lot to go. Now, even “United and Revolted”, they would remove five seats from the right in the remains. This is the starting point.
Source: Lavanguardia
